Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.314404 0.422240 0.547638 0.701943 0.884411 1.091106 1.340694
2025-11-30 0.187602 0.320265 0.498688 0.745457 1.067222 1.462378 1.973832
2025-12-07 0.109137 0.242763 0.451285 0.772311 1.226788 1.821506 2.631998
2025-12-14 0.059822 0.180974 0.402441 0.780229 1.355513 2.149385 3.276914
2025-12-21 0.029144 0.129650 0.349225 0.764671 1.442128 2.422397 3.865025
2025-12-28 0.014499 0.099256 0.319894 0.777346 1.566741 2.752656 4.546163
2026-01-04 0.006178 0.074177 0.289316 0.778248 1.668321 3.051933 5.195658
2026-01-11 0.001754 0.051058 0.250129 0.751444 1.716879 3.270520 5.736009
2026-01-18 0.000293 0.035123 0.219121 0.731724 1.771658 3.497750 6.294758
2026-01-25 0.000017 0.025770 0.201484 0.735781 1.867014 3.791415 6.961063
2026-02-01 NaN 0.016349 0.173815 0.707936 1.897387 3.978823 7.470808
2026-02-08 NaN 0.013202 0.170833 0.741086 2.047591 4.369590 8.304130
2026-02-15 NaN 0.008976 0.156860 0.742746 2.137767 4.668686 9.013624
2026-02-22 NaN 0.007864 0.161527 0.798515 2.343626 5.174329 10.063782
2026-03-01 NaN 0.006131 0.158923 0.832234 2.505831 5.611041 11.017192
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004172 0.149765 0.843443 2.620540 5.969043 11.854561
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002302 0.133988 0.828456 2.676059 6.223876 12.532145
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001453 0.127376 0.842611 2.796804 6.598722 13.412475
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000772 0.118038 0.843949 2.887579 6.921479 14.213957
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000248 0.102473 0.815761 2.906145 7.111681 14.800748
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000054 0.090069 0.794965 2.939257 7.328592 15.435522
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000009 0.083984 0.799314 3.033728 7.663133 16.273627
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.071830 0.769819 3.039972 7.829377 16.830707